won the Human Rights
Heiner Geissler has made the step from the Catholic social teaching Neo-Marxism at last. He joined Attac, the "nonviolent" Branch of the "anti-globalization". He established his membership with the right to demonstrate, which he sees through seemingly excessive security measures through the establishment of a temporary intra-German border between the classy resort of Heiligendamm and the rest of the Republic and the establishment of a prophylactic Guantanamo Light at risk for demonstrators. It overlooks the good man that - unlike in Russia about the Russia-EU summit - the followers of Attac for their view may very well take to the streets, just not directly on the Border to shut off the € 12 million expensive fence . Finally, the protesters have set the goal of the very overcoming demarcation line - without violent confrontation, difficult to reach. As can a 200 m wide buffer zone threaten freedom of expression hardly.
Not only Geissler and the G8 - Summit make it necessary to have a closer to deal with the arguments of Attac. But also because the German media to film best, the future demonstrators in how they practice, "violent" to attend to the crime of coercion. As once Gert Bastian and Petra Kelly Mutlangen they check under their seat in blockade to prevent possible long to be carried away by the police. What the G8 opponents would do really, if there is no Summit common. Would they want to capture without a fence at all the luxury hotel in Heiligendamm?
for Marxism was the year 1989, the catastrophe. Not broke, capitalism as predicted together. While making workers and population revolution. But against the socialist command economy, dubbed the dictatorship of Stalin's disciples. This allows the entire ideology was apparently failed and discredited. On their behalf, but the major crimes had been committed, not in the interests of big business. Half of Europe had been only under threat of the use of firearms for half a century, forced into poverty and abandonment, while the other half was held by a nuclear overkill it, the insurgents from Berlin, Prague and Budapest or the strikers in Gdansk to come to the rescue. It was to find a new reason why capitalism is a reprehensible, (un) - human ideology was in need of control and expropriation. It needed a new enemy and a new ground for the application of Marxist theory.
capitalism is not the name of an economic system but a Marxist rallying cry, which means in theory a historical phase in which the production factors land and labor by above-average "profits" of Capital exploited and at risk in the substance. The increase in capital is for the well-Marxist-influenced Public finance capital. taken in the past like the additions were then also Jewish and / or internationally. That is the point when so-called speculators earn money with easy money and do not use for investments in the "real world".
first International financial capital and Tobin tax
The new Marx said Tobin . Instead of revolution and expropriation of crude, was the substance of foreign exchange operations with seemingly silly 0.2% tax and this "redistribution" of the World Bank to developing countries. The more often a "financier" also turns his capital, more often fall to the tax, which reduced its capital. Who turns his capital-ie daily pay in the week 1% tax on this matter and in 52 weeks just 52%. Attac is expected that approximately € 1.1 trillion to be handled every day of which only about 40 - 60 billion € of the so-called real economy would be needed to handle the marketing of real goods. The Tobin tax that is only 2.2 billion were won € per day, around 11 billion € per week and a measly half a billion a year, which were then given the World Bank for the poorest of the world if the speculators would not change their behavior. But that just wanted to reach Tobin. His goal was to make short-term speculation and so unattractive to reduce currency fluctuations.
His proposal is to be understood from the time when it was made. 1972 was the system of Bretton Woods , in which fixed exchange rates and the gold standard were the dollar to collapse. In order to finance the Vietnam War, the U.S. had fired up the money printing machine and increases the money supply. The dollar rate of 4.20 DM was no longer tenable. Just as the guarantee of the U.S. central bank to offset every dollar in gold at any time. But anyone who looks at the development of the world economy 1944-1973, could come up with the idea that the different growth rates Member countries, inflation and unemployment and, not least, the merger resulted in the oil-producing countries, a system ad absurdum to keep the central banks are stable again by buying or selling of currencies, the system should be as people and companies were free to buy foreign currency for sale or.
1972, when Tobin made his proposal was that financial markets are underdeveloped. There were no instruments for currency hedging, options and futures. Because there had been until then Bretton Woods. In Europe, people tried in succession with the European currency snake and later the European Monetary System in the European community to agree on fixed exchange rates and to allow through buying and selling of currencies by central banks. At that time, speculation against the system sure profitable approach, because the forced intervention of central banks to back and see were before. And that was the reason why the three systems, Bretton Woods, snake and EWS have failed, the latter on the speculation of the "anti-globalization" became famous George Soros. Only the monetary union in Europe was a success because they put a stop to the introduction of the single currency to trade the various currencies. Whether the divergence between the sovereignty of monetary, fiscal policy and economic policy at the time not even a euro crisis is to be, will prove to be yet. All three systems were the predecessors of what would Attac: the legitimized by democratic elections attempt to prevent speculation and currency fluctuations. Unfortunately, he failed repeatedly to reality.
speculative harms no one. It is distributed to various risks shoulders. The financial market has done so gradually that, what Bretton Woods, snake and EWS have failed. Thus, today, secure car companies such as currency risks for several years and expect with constant income. to exchange those that assure them about the dollar in two or three years at a fixed exchange rate, secure themselves from other speculators, who perform their currency reserves in short-term. Each sector has a profit, the business model of demonized "hedge fund" is based on risks to take for others. The car company waived in exchange for risk reduction to the maximum possible profit and will in turn lower the safe dose. The difference is ultimately distributed among market participants. In game theory is called a "win-win situation."
could not know the Tobin 1972nd What he has to keep good. But today it can be seen that the crisis has led to speculation of currency systems, but the fact that the speculators are the obvious mistakes of the "democratically elected" Financial and economic policy have taken advantage of. What ultimately led to them a system that was latent risk, have brought to the break-in, before there would have been even greater damage. This applies to the billions of dollar artificially inflated tigers of Southeast Asia as well as for the British pound, which was already overvalued, when it joined the ERM 1990th
second Are the poor really getting poorer
Attac iB situated on the worldwide income growth, the hypothesis that the rich get richer and the poor getting poorer would. Culprit is - rightly - the neo-liberal globalization, where markets is unleashed to the brutal capitalist law of the jungle. This effect would be exacerbated by the international financial speculation.
documented on his website German Attac this due to UN figures, over the period from 1960 to 1997. The trend since 1997 is not taken into account. It is true that the difference between the incomes of the poorest of the world in the given period has grown. This is not because of the increasing global economic division, but at the increased productivity and erstrittenen by the unions participating in the growing value added in industrial countries. In developing countries, this productivity growth was modest, so there were no increases in income can be realized. The financial markets do not benefit from the poorest of the world. Between the two there is simply no point of contact. Moreover, is still the old saying: a naked man you can not reach into his pocket.
terms of actual development on the basis of the latest figures of the World Bank , this raises an entirely different picture. The absolute poverty in the world is shrinking and not to. Between 1999 and 2004, 135 million people made it the first time on an income of to achieve a dollar. Since 1990, this number fell from 29 to 18% of the population of developing countries and for the first time exceeded one billion. Even in Africa the number was those who earn less than one dollar per month to almost five percent.
Even in the 19 poorest countries in the world is poverty absolutely fell by 1.3 percent, while the economies have grown by just one percent. Middle-income countries achieved growth of 6.2%, China and East Asia as much as 10%. These figures since the early nineties, so the effective date of what is called globalization Attac, especially those countries are stable and with increasing intensity Part of the global division of labor.
is of concern, the development of the countries that have no established state monopoly and which led to permanent internal and external conflicts, war and violence. You will have no or poor growth, and the number of absolute poor in them also alarmingly high. Although Vietnam and Uganda show that such difficulties would drift apart.
A clear evidence of Eucken's theory of the "interdependence of order" that states that a market economy, a liberal rule of law requires, and vice versa.
Even in developed countries, claims Attac Germany would the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. In particular, the preference of the company was unacceptable, which would have to pay fewer taxes and does not participate in the infrastructure. Blame are the reduced rates, which would lead to ever lower tax revenues.
overlook our top economists in good faith that the business tax is generally only a pilot. You will be charged to the individual income tax the person to whom the income is paid. If the personal tax rate will be higher, nachversteuert needs. And in Germany was increased by the grand coalition currently in 45% (keyword rich tax).
And it is the international finance community contributes to the community. The 350,000 employees of the financial sector paid 20% of total tax revenue. Not the German, but the emergence of Great Britain. Says the Economist in its issue of 03 February 2007, so in a country which apply where, despite 10 years of Labour lower and simpler tax rates and corporate tax reform, the future prime minister in addition to reducing the corporate tax to 30% with an investment allowance of £ 50,000 associated (75,000 €), while in Germany the declining balance depreciation is to be abolished.
compete in an interdependent world economy states. Crucial are infrastructure, safety and cost. Prices and taxes are no longer mandatory deductions that can be driven with the beating of potentates. And bureaucracy is a barrier to investment.
the knowledge era, the traditional industrial companies have every chance in the world. And developing societies. Division of labor works only when everyone benefits, which have to share this division of labor. And ask him. And do not exclude customs duties and other barriers interest. The then try to come here rather than to offer their goods and services.
third Glocal democracy
One of the main demands of Attac is the democratic Control of international financial markets, especially currency transactions. The term 'glocal means a new subsidiarity. The world population is to vote together on matters which concern in its entirety. The people of individual states only about things that do not concern themselves.
One of the main objections to the so-called G8 - Summit is the lack of democratic legitimacy of this institution. However, it is not about one. But an informal meeting, which is protected by the assembly and freedom of contract of the Basic Law and international law is binding on anyone. Of course, the final communique of weight. And it is democratic legitimacy, at least largely. Finally, one can doubt the legitimacy of the Russian President, this arose because the one choice, but the essential rights in a democracy just like freedom of assembly or the right to freedom of expression are undermined by factual threat of death.
Democratic control of international financial capital refers to the deprivation of the right of disposal by the owner. The property-rights is the essential feature of the property. What good is a million to the account if I did not move, do not invest, not invest and spend may not be. Attacking does not mean democracy. But expropriation of privately held financial capital. Pure Marxism.
How do the glocal democracy should not say Attac. Which institutions should be established. States will occur internationally, as in the UN. Do we have a right to intervene if their countries leaders have not determined according to the practices of democracy, but have come to power in a putsch. What should be regulated, what is democratic in the global and what is decided at the local level.
The crucial quality of democracy is that it counts heads, not up or taking. About the quality of the results that say little. And if we do not want a world economic order, but a world economic organization, must all follow the outcome of the vote, the objective of the organization. The end of individual freedom would be the consequence. And the actual expropriation of private capital.
Attac is nothing other than the legitimate successor of the Communist International, whose fight song at every rally of the Socialist Unity Party of Germany and their communist brothers in arms was most recently voiced strong voices of old men: "People, listen to the signals! On, the last fight! The International won the right people! People hear the signal! On, the last fight! The International won the human race. "(On which each time the rights holders, media manager with a certain name Beierlein happy because the royalties bubbled.
There's good reason not to talk of international law. But of peoples. And human rights.
Hannes Stein on 29 April at the Potsdamer Platz at the eleventh hour three questions asked. It had a handful of demonstrators on the occasion found the international Darfur Days division to arrive each year to demonstrate against the crimes and murders in that region of Sudan, and could not be perceived as less CNN cameras are located throughout the country as on a single market place in Baghdad. The three questions were: Where is the Left. Where are the intellectuals and representatives of the industry. Where are the representatives of Muslims who protest against cartoons, but not when their brethren are being killed. I ask a question in addition. Where were the "anti-globalization", where was Attac. Or is it legitimizes the Sudanese government sufficiently democratic. Would participation in this demonstration is no longer justified, as media attention to shake the fence in Heiligendamm? But in Darfur, there are no water cannons, not even water. But bullets and no cameras that carry the message of "anti-globalization" in the world and following new members and solicit new donations.
Thursday, May 24, 2007
Sunday, May 13, 2007
Cramps Days Before Period
Stalin's later victory
Those were the days. Every year, won But then Ralph Siegel in "Tele Voting" and the "Euro Vision Song Contest" was still called "Grand Prix de la Chanson d'€ vision."
Yugoslavia had not been divided into various "Former Yugoslavian Republic" referred to states, because the whole held together by Tito. Although it was allowed to leave but at home there was the "worker control", a special brand of socialism, which was slightly more efficient than the Soviet-style central planning and less efficient than the market economy. Nevertheless, Volkswagen produced some were prominent on the golf I based flatbed named Caddy, Yugoslav football and handball coach, even if the most famous trademark was the Cevapcicci of "Yugoslavs", the Grills in price and weight only with those could be the "Greeks" measure, while we mainly by Italian Pizza knew.
Today the European Broadcasting Union's 42 members include Turkey, Georgia, Ukraine and Israel. Countries, which at first glance are not attributable to the parent country in Europe. Also, the member country Russia is the widespread geographical understanding at best to the Ural part of the continent. Since I'm married
- more than 10 years - the "Grand Prix" as it says in the current language, and required course is pursued in doubt even on Turkish television on vacation. The composer competition between Ralph Siegel and Alf Igel (under the pseudonym Stefan Raab wrote his first title for Guildo Horn) was amusing and the latter gave us regularly an honorable place among the top 10
Ever since the victory in Estonia on which was just that of the neighboring country of Latvia, have recognized the Eastern Europeans, despite the excitement of the West that they can win, but do not have to pay. This annoys the Big Four Spain, France, Britain and Germany, with the purchase of their alimentation Although the starting place in the finals, but not vote and approval.
certainly are the Baltic and the Balkans closer in mentality and taste in music. And therefore agree love for each other, whereas as the Germans could rarely enter the Austrian neighbors only 12 points.
But the alliance also has other reasons. We just became aware that Estonia has a strong Russian minority. As the neighbors Lithuania and Latvia. But also like Ukraine, Belarus or Georgia. Serbs are not only living in their own state. But also in Macedonia, Bosnia-Herzegovnia, Montenegro and and and. And Turks, there are here in sufficient amount (even if the other reasons).
The results of the "Grand Prix" are the late effects of the Austrian multi-national state and its Stalinist conservation. States cover not the actual habitats of individual ethnic groups and Stalinism left behind Russian minorities in many countries. Democratic or fair, this competition is not always when the number of citizens of Malta, Andorra or the Baltic states have the same weight as that of Russia, Germany or Great Britain. But the chances of Lithuanians, Latvians, Estonians, White Russians, Ukrainians, Georgians grow naturally through the forced resettlement of Russian minorities in Stalinist times. That here, however, lesbians and drag queens come on stage that makes otherwise omnipresent monotony of drum machines almost forgotten.
That does not relieve the donor of better Performance. What is true in this case is not exceptional for the German contribution, bearing in mind how the last year of the otherwise anti-American to haute borne by Country Swing now brought to an old European stage. Even though Stalin and Tito would be happy that their Vielvölkerei works at least in a show competition. Before the minorities to practice again in armed conflicts.
Those were the days. Every year, won But then Ralph Siegel in "Tele Voting" and the "Euro Vision Song Contest" was still called "Grand Prix de la Chanson d'€ vision."
Yugoslavia had not been divided into various "Former Yugoslavian Republic" referred to states, because the whole held together by Tito. Although it was allowed to leave but at home there was the "worker control", a special brand of socialism, which was slightly more efficient than the Soviet-style central planning and less efficient than the market economy. Nevertheless, Volkswagen produced some were prominent on the golf I based flatbed named Caddy, Yugoslav football and handball coach, even if the most famous trademark was the Cevapcicci of "Yugoslavs", the Grills in price and weight only with those could be the "Greeks" measure, while we mainly by Italian Pizza knew.
Today the European Broadcasting Union's 42 members include Turkey, Georgia, Ukraine and Israel. Countries, which at first glance are not attributable to the parent country in Europe. Also, the member country Russia is the widespread geographical understanding at best to the Ural part of the continent. Since I'm married
- more than 10 years - the "Grand Prix" as it says in the current language, and required course is pursued in doubt even on Turkish television on vacation. The composer competition between Ralph Siegel and Alf Igel (under the pseudonym Stefan Raab wrote his first title for Guildo Horn) was amusing and the latter gave us regularly an honorable place among the top 10
Ever since the victory in Estonia on which was just that of the neighboring country of Latvia, have recognized the Eastern Europeans, despite the excitement of the West that they can win, but do not have to pay. This annoys the Big Four Spain, France, Britain and Germany, with the purchase of their alimentation Although the starting place in the finals, but not vote and approval.
certainly are the Baltic and the Balkans closer in mentality and taste in music. And therefore agree love for each other, whereas as the Germans could rarely enter the Austrian neighbors only 12 points.
But the alliance also has other reasons. We just became aware that Estonia has a strong Russian minority. As the neighbors Lithuania and Latvia. But also like Ukraine, Belarus or Georgia. Serbs are not only living in their own state. But also in Macedonia, Bosnia-Herzegovnia, Montenegro and and and. And Turks, there are here in sufficient amount (even if the other reasons).
The results of the "Grand Prix" are the late effects of the Austrian multi-national state and its Stalinist conservation. States cover not the actual habitats of individual ethnic groups and Stalinism left behind Russian minorities in many countries. Democratic or fair, this competition is not always when the number of citizens of Malta, Andorra or the Baltic states have the same weight as that of Russia, Germany or Great Britain. But the chances of Lithuanians, Latvians, Estonians, White Russians, Ukrainians, Georgians grow naturally through the forced resettlement of Russian minorities in Stalinist times. That here, however, lesbians and drag queens come on stage that makes otherwise omnipresent monotony of drum machines almost forgotten.
That does not relieve the donor of better Performance. What is true in this case is not exceptional for the German contribution, bearing in mind how the last year of the otherwise anti-American to haute borne by Country Swing now brought to an old European stage. Even though Stalin and Tito would be happy that their Vielvölkerei works at least in a show competition. Before the minorities to practice again in armed conflicts.
Saturday, May 12, 2007
Fighting Off A Chest Infection
number Salad!
Fritz Schäffer did not need a tax estimator. The first Federal Minister of Finance 1949-57, it managed to achieve during his term, an increase of 8 billion DM, which today would be about 35 billion €. After storage of the "imperial war treasure" in the Spandau Citadel's thrifty budget financial policy of the Julius tower was called. To achieve such a result, it took the Catholic Bayer no external expertise. The " Working Group revenue estimate " consisting of the Federal Ministry of Finance, of Economy, the six "major economic institutions, the Federal Statistical Office, the German Federal Bank, the Advisory Council on the assessment of economic development, the country finance ministers and central municipal associations took until 1955 his work on. After Schaffer's credit was used for the Bundeswehr, since then there have been occasional at best a nearly balanced budget. The open-reported debt of the Federal Republic of Germany amounts to € 1.5 trillion. By Federal President Horst Köhler, in addition to the finance ministers of the only economist in Germany's highest offices of state (but with international experience in Eastern Europe Bank and International Monetary Fund) estimated, the hidden and open public debt (unfunded pension benefits for civil servants, not by future premium payments covered legal social security rights ) € to over 7 trillion. Reason enough to even put up with the insights apart, the estimate of the annual event brings us really. And that working group Tax estimate brings the Republic to celebrate. Almost infinite increase in expenditure will be made in federal and state views and desires of all kinds, and even raise the hardly justified.
meets twice a year, the cumulative economic expertise in the form of the working group. In May, a great forecast for the next 5 years is risky, early November, a few corrections to short-term view. But some also with a blur. Tax revenues in 2002 were about € 6 billion higher than it was on 6 November of that year expected by the expert group. This is an uncertainty of 3 billion € per month. For the year would give the extrapolated a corridor of around 36 billion €.
result on which years are around 120 billion € of variation. And where move that much euphoria additional € 87 billion revenue by 2011 announced by the Federal . And the homepage of the Federal Minister of Finance hastened to simultaneously make clear to the publication with a nice interactive graphic: bus a few Milliärdchen everything is already planned. Anyone who considers the short term, which another numerical example is kept:
The latest estimate, which may therefore prove to reality, is from the 2002 . At that time it was estimated that the federal tax revenue in 2006 to a whopping 231.3 €, 27.4 more than the actually achieved pale € 203 billion, almost the amount which was reported in the autumn of 2006 estimate for the year 2007 (€ 230.5 billion). Comparing the estimate of 2002 with the actual results, then a decrease of € 91.9 billion rich is solely responsible for the federal government. These are accounts for only € 6 billion more than the estimate minus the 2002nd Taking the 2001 totaled € 193.6 billion for the measure, the estimate would have an improvement over the real income (not estimates) had the effect of 98.8 billion €, which is more than the announced € 87 billion by 2012. Because the "district valuer" only the deviations of the last estimate with the actual results, identifies and otherwise ENVISAGES only on the difference between the respective estimates, basic and immunized it the result of his work against critics.
other words, it is no wonder that made Fritz Schäffer without the estimator circuit, the better fiscal policy. The knowledge gained by this group based on the quality of the central planning commission of the German Democratic Republic. Not the deviation from reality is measured, but by the Plan. In other words: The World as Will and Representation (see Schopenhauer) annually serves as the basis for the establishment of the state budget. This is already significant enough reason to doubt the usefulness of the instruments of German fiscal policy.
for the incorrect predictions, there are three reasons. First, the difficult about them is that they concern the future (Mark Twain) is. Then they try in a complex division of labor in world economic growth to predict. What impact on the world economy would have been announced but a nuclear attack by Iran on Israel. Or a terrorist attack on an oil terminal or a pipeline. Or a temporary boycott of Russian gas to Central Europe to enforce higher prices as against the Ukraine or Belarus. Or an earthquake. Or or or.
Second, the economy and the national income to grow not so linear. Usually take about exports faster than domestic demand. In this case, company profits and move their tax liability easily to foreign subsidiaries in which they are offsetting lower prices are charged. Then the tax revenue would rise less.
lag as the so-called employment threshold at 2.5% economic growth (that is, the growth is set from the back), so this is obviously decreased significantly by Hartz IV. At that time the unemployed received unemployment benefits in the second year, although that was financed by taxes, but still on previous earnings and living standards oriented. What is the tendency to take a lower paid job, not increased. The unemployment benefit II, however, is the same for all high and will only secure the "subsistence". This reduces the expected wage from which the unemployed are willing to work, to a level that is about 20% of Hartz IV and not 20% of ALG II The significant increase in employment in low economic growth but again consequences. Through its involvement leads to more profit and therefore also the tax liability of the company. This has been in the old "econometric models" not accepted and was probably correct.
The last reason is the complexity and constant change in tax law. This has not only achieve the object, revenue for the state, but to serve the objectives of the government. The State shall adopt taxes for good behavior, such as when you invest in renewable energies. Or if you can heat insulation measures carried out at his home. Taxing different income completely different. Five different income tax law does: as in work, income from capital and from Vemietung lease and from agriculture and forestry. The whole control law is a system of communicating vessels which will be the gefuhrwerkt constantly around. Whether the individual But change has the desired or predicted effect is nowhere related and thus deprives the review.
makes
However, no German luxury spring or quality newspaper bothered to check the quality of forecasts and estimates. As introduced Prof. Paul Kirchhof, Judge of the Federal Constitutional Court retired, its new income tax law, it sounded "cost-prohibitive" from all corners. 42 billion € 12 billion loss in the first and in each subsequent year had feared. Power in the sum of 88 billion €. These are only € 3 billion less than the small amount by which the estimators have missed 2002nd And it agrees with the Not even amount. Because the tax statistics not covered the actual income and actual profits, but only the already reduced by the deductions, the "amount". But because the comprehensive income are not known, it can not be calculated, how much additional revenue would have been. That was one reason. The other comes later.
Like so many other "modern" instruments of economic and social policy, the circle tax estimate simply useless. It is used to conceal the actual tax revenues and should do for the citizens unrecognizable, how strong the withdrawal of private funds for public Purposes increases years after year. Why the state needs more money? Especially in better times would decrease the need and yet do not rise to 50 billion €.
is to financial planning is a simple reliable measuring stick. The actual funds raised last year. They have almost a Keynesian function. If in fact more revenue, they can actually be used for debt repayment. Only in economically bad years, which fall in the tax revenues actually, as in previous years, there is a - small - deficit. But self-regulating mechanisms
dislike of politicians. They prevent maximize votes
Fritz Schäffer did not need a tax estimator. The first Federal Minister of Finance 1949-57, it managed to achieve during his term, an increase of 8 billion DM, which today would be about 35 billion €. After storage of the "imperial war treasure" in the Spandau Citadel's thrifty budget financial policy of the Julius tower was called. To achieve such a result, it took the Catholic Bayer no external expertise. The " Working Group revenue estimate " consisting of the Federal Ministry of Finance, of Economy, the six "major economic institutions, the Federal Statistical Office, the German Federal Bank, the Advisory Council on the assessment of economic development, the country finance ministers and central municipal associations took until 1955 his work on. After Schaffer's credit was used for the Bundeswehr, since then there have been occasional at best a nearly balanced budget. The open-reported debt of the Federal Republic of Germany amounts to € 1.5 trillion. By Federal President Horst Köhler, in addition to the finance ministers of the only economist in Germany's highest offices of state (but with international experience in Eastern Europe Bank and International Monetary Fund) estimated, the hidden and open public debt (unfunded pension benefits for civil servants, not by future premium payments covered legal social security rights ) € to over 7 trillion. Reason enough to even put up with the insights apart, the estimate of the annual event brings us really. And that working group Tax estimate brings the Republic to celebrate. Almost infinite increase in expenditure will be made in federal and state views and desires of all kinds, and even raise the hardly justified.
meets twice a year, the cumulative economic expertise in the form of the working group. In May, a great forecast for the next 5 years is risky, early November, a few corrections to short-term view. But some also with a blur. Tax revenues in 2002 were about € 6 billion higher than it was on 6 November of that year expected by the expert group. This is an uncertainty of 3 billion € per month. For the year would give the extrapolated a corridor of around 36 billion €.
result on which years are around 120 billion € of variation. And where move that much euphoria additional € 87 billion revenue by 2011 announced by the Federal . And the homepage of the Federal Minister of Finance hastened to simultaneously make clear to the publication with a nice interactive graphic: bus a few Milliärdchen everything is already planned. Anyone who considers the short term, which another numerical example is kept:
The latest estimate, which may therefore prove to reality, is from the 2002 . At that time it was estimated that the federal tax revenue in 2006 to a whopping 231.3 €, 27.4 more than the actually achieved pale € 203 billion, almost the amount which was reported in the autumn of 2006 estimate for the year 2007 (€ 230.5 billion). Comparing the estimate of 2002 with the actual results, then a decrease of € 91.9 billion rich is solely responsible for the federal government. These are accounts for only € 6 billion more than the estimate minus the 2002nd Taking the 2001 totaled € 193.6 billion for the measure, the estimate would have an improvement over the real income (not estimates) had the effect of 98.8 billion €, which is more than the announced € 87 billion by 2012. Because the "district valuer" only the deviations of the last estimate with the actual results, identifies and otherwise ENVISAGES only on the difference between the respective estimates, basic and immunized it the result of his work against critics.
other words, it is no wonder that made Fritz Schäffer without the estimator circuit, the better fiscal policy. The knowledge gained by this group based on the quality of the central planning commission of the German Democratic Republic. Not the deviation from reality is measured, but by the Plan. In other words: The World as Will and Representation (see Schopenhauer) annually serves as the basis for the establishment of the state budget. This is already significant enough reason to doubt the usefulness of the instruments of German fiscal policy.
for the incorrect predictions, there are three reasons. First, the difficult about them is that they concern the future (Mark Twain) is. Then they try in a complex division of labor in world economic growth to predict. What impact on the world economy would have been announced but a nuclear attack by Iran on Israel. Or a terrorist attack on an oil terminal or a pipeline. Or a temporary boycott of Russian gas to Central Europe to enforce higher prices as against the Ukraine or Belarus. Or an earthquake. Or or or.
Second, the economy and the national income to grow not so linear. Usually take about exports faster than domestic demand. In this case, company profits and move their tax liability easily to foreign subsidiaries in which they are offsetting lower prices are charged. Then the tax revenue would rise less.
lag as the so-called employment threshold at 2.5% economic growth (that is, the growth is set from the back), so this is obviously decreased significantly by Hartz IV. At that time the unemployed received unemployment benefits in the second year, although that was financed by taxes, but still on previous earnings and living standards oriented. What is the tendency to take a lower paid job, not increased. The unemployment benefit II, however, is the same for all high and will only secure the "subsistence". This reduces the expected wage from which the unemployed are willing to work, to a level that is about 20% of Hartz IV and not 20% of ALG II The significant increase in employment in low economic growth but again consequences. Through its involvement leads to more profit and therefore also the tax liability of the company. This has been in the old "econometric models" not accepted and was probably correct.
The last reason is the complexity and constant change in tax law. This has not only achieve the object, revenue for the state, but to serve the objectives of the government. The State shall adopt taxes for good behavior, such as when you invest in renewable energies. Or if you can heat insulation measures carried out at his home. Taxing different income completely different. Five different income tax law does: as in work, income from capital and from Vemietung lease and from agriculture and forestry. The whole control law is a system of communicating vessels which will be the gefuhrwerkt constantly around. Whether the individual But change has the desired or predicted effect is nowhere related and thus deprives the review.
makes
However, no German luxury spring or quality newspaper bothered to check the quality of forecasts and estimates. As introduced Prof. Paul Kirchhof, Judge of the Federal Constitutional Court retired, its new income tax law, it sounded "cost-prohibitive" from all corners. 42 billion € 12 billion loss in the first and in each subsequent year had feared. Power in the sum of 88 billion €. These are only € 3 billion less than the small amount by which the estimators have missed 2002nd And it agrees with the Not even amount. Because the tax statistics not covered the actual income and actual profits, but only the already reduced by the deductions, the "amount". But because the comprehensive income are not known, it can not be calculated, how much additional revenue would have been. That was one reason. The other comes later.
Like so many other "modern" instruments of economic and social policy, the circle tax estimate simply useless. It is used to conceal the actual tax revenues and should do for the citizens unrecognizable, how strong the withdrawal of private funds for public Purposes increases years after year. Why the state needs more money? Especially in better times would decrease the need and yet do not rise to 50 billion €.
is to financial planning is a simple reliable measuring stick. The actual funds raised last year. They have almost a Keynesian function. If in fact more revenue, they can actually be used for debt repayment. Only in economically bad years, which fall in the tax revenues actually, as in previous years, there is a - small - deficit. But self-regulating mechanisms
dislike of politicians. They prevent maximize votes
Sunday, May 6, 2007
Mosquito Like Bumps On Arm
socialization
30 years ago showed the German television "Our Walter," a miniseries that is not reported from the time of his life by the Federal President Walter Scheel. With its populist nature of the trained singer and precursor Karl would Moik ("High on the yellow Wa aa gene, I sit in the front-law) was just too perfect for the first docu-soap. Instead, it was a "regular" German family and their concerns with her mongoloid son Walter in everyday life, which was difficult for the mentally handicapped. Wim (Thoelke) Wum and later Wendy worked out how to popularize "Action problem child", in which a cap provided with Geldbriefbote (there was then) named Sparbier the winners announced the lottery, which was organized for the benefit of problem children from the second program on German television. Rate between rounds and show elements contributed later the "Grand Prix" preppy assistants the winners names on clipboards on the stage and were sometimes even their reading skills by announcing a winner to the test. At some point, Wim was long dead and the establishment of a quota-oriented show about the lottery luck was obviously more difficult, was then probably paid some minority officers incorrect on that "problem child" as political was how the term "mongoloid" (Dow syndrome, read.) A relaunch was necessary: With the "action man" we got all apparently targeted by the good people of Lerchenberg:
The Honourable Society of the welfare state has joined forces: from the workers' welfare on the German Caritas Association, the Social Association of Germany eV, the social VdK that Weibernetz eV supporters BUND, the German professional association for nursing eV, INKOTA, Oxfam, the Association of German Development NGOs eV up to the "ideological supporters German Federation of Trade Unions "have about 90 institutions with a neo-Marxist-Christian do-gooders alliance under the slogan" In each of us there is a need "(O-Ton), the target group of the old Action Problem Child and its" mission statement "widened dramatically. That the newly formed Communist International, which operates worldwide under the name of Attac inicht, Here is probably the only reason not in the gigantic welfare state campaign associates "represented to broaden with the profiteers of the social budget of their action, their influence and their budget targeted wants. The title "partner", usually with their capital-liable partner in a Company called, is quite misleading. Is not meant finally taking responsibility for their own lives, but their assignment to Caritas and the likes, so their "socialization", which you can share with expropriation. Also noticed similar Bodo Wünsch on his excellent blog freedom, market, legal, where he also kindly the 30th Ludwig Erhard's death remembered.
The purpose of the whole matter becomes clear when one indulges in the blog worth reading "Economic Freedom", where the economics professor Rainer Hank has made the "secret Gesächfte of Charity "Subject to an economic analysis:
Diakonia & Co from about 1.5 million full-time employees and an estimated annual turnover of 55 billion € is the question. But the number of jobs at the big five charity has tripled since 1970. No one knows exactly, because the industry refuses stubbornly to put their data. Consolidated Balance Sheets as one looks in vain "
" It is extraordinary that a growth industry in the services market. - The classic "products" that are not threatened by globalization, because it only in this country "to women and men" can be provided - in the chaotic no man's land opaque darkness ekes out her life: organized labor and between black and non-profit tax-privileged corporatist dominated by an oligopoly of some welfare-caring institutions. Because the ratio would require actually, that such personal services is a perfect example of a market-organized industry of the future may be instructive companies "
But the" benefactor industry "has another claim for their ordinary living:
." Wants to advocate for the disadvantaged, "we are and for that responsible, "Solidarity in Society to donate. It says so in an "argument paper" to the charity. And this of course not limited entrepreneurial activity, but community involvement, with which one generates 73% of its revenues from public sources without having to face the pressure of competition effectively. Again, Hank.
"The advocacy discourse same time allows to use social demands for marketing purposes, but this to disguise the same time, if ever, the associations of reductions scourge of the welfare state, they do not only in the name of charity, but also to to ensure the financial welfare of their own day care, training and consultancy houses. The welfare industry praises quite openly for, fought for the introduction of Blümschen care to have. It has also benefited greatly from it. Not surprisingly, before this background that the industry is now also makes it particularly strong for the Leyensche of the Krippenbauprogramm. Supply-induced demand management economists call this method. It is known mainly from the NHS. "
better to have no real intention of the merged when the company can define welfare state mafia. It is finally also to the maintenance of "charity". Alone due to elimination of corporate and business tax the benefactors of some 600 million DM save, set free the resources of its volunteers as well as community service (for which the de facto a "special tax for young military men fit") and they may issue contribution receipts (even if that makes only 3% of their income) . A tradition that began in 1916, when the Catholic Caritas discovered the welfare state as a funding source, and thus began the gigantic growth of the welfare state industry. But Hank has
out that private providers, wherever they happen to win, despite competitive disadvantages against the subsidized charitable massive market share. Another reason why the "Shareholders" Profit-making and entrepreneurship demonize. They are afraid of the competition.
The campaign is sneaky, because it spans many good people in good faith before a commercial truck, but denied they stamped on the website and the media they are partnerships of ARD, ZDF has mirror to fraud. It is but it seems to participation and civil society to liability, it does not work. The media provide banner advertising space and time free of charge, are likely to have a million-dollar value and are recorded by the campaign professionally. Testimonials represent the ordinary citizens will be presented perfectly illuminated. Gideon Boess, the absurdity of these statements at WOMD satirized perfectly.
The expensive presentation and the extensive benefits that are obviously an increase in sales and Gewinnabzielungsabsicht provide the privilege of non-profit in question. In the Eighties, Otto Graf Lambsdorff in view of the failure of public service activities (or should it better common hot economic) of the DGB for "New Home", found "bank for social economy" and "COOP", "self-interest, common good, wretch" . Would add nothing to the cause.
If it were not that weird event last Sunday, when a handful of people through the center of Berlin subjected to point to hundreds of thousands of murdered and displaced hundreds of thousands and millions of starving people in Darfur, Sudan. Where they were, the "Shareholders". But it was not about the income of the German welfare state industry.
30 years ago showed the German television "Our Walter," a miniseries that is not reported from the time of his life by the Federal President Walter Scheel. With its populist nature of the trained singer and precursor Karl would Moik ("High on the yellow Wa aa gene, I sit in the front-law) was just too perfect for the first docu-soap. Instead, it was a "regular" German family and their concerns with her mongoloid son Walter in everyday life, which was difficult for the mentally handicapped. Wim (Thoelke) Wum and later Wendy worked out how to popularize "Action problem child", in which a cap provided with Geldbriefbote (there was then) named Sparbier the winners announced the lottery, which was organized for the benefit of problem children from the second program on German television. Rate between rounds and show elements contributed later the "Grand Prix" preppy assistants the winners names on clipboards on the stage and were sometimes even their reading skills by announcing a winner to the test. At some point, Wim was long dead and the establishment of a quota-oriented show about the lottery luck was obviously more difficult, was then probably paid some minority officers incorrect on that "problem child" as political was how the term "mongoloid" (Dow syndrome, read.) A relaunch was necessary: With the "action man" we got all apparently targeted by the good people of Lerchenberg:
The Honourable Society of the welfare state has joined forces: from the workers' welfare on the German Caritas Association, the Social Association of Germany eV, the social VdK that Weibernetz eV supporters BUND, the German professional association for nursing eV, INKOTA, Oxfam, the Association of German Development NGOs eV up to the "ideological supporters German Federation of Trade Unions "have about 90 institutions with a neo-Marxist-Christian do-gooders alliance under the slogan" In each of us there is a need "(O-Ton), the target group of the old Action Problem Child and its" mission statement "widened dramatically. That the newly formed Communist International, which operates worldwide under the name of Attac inicht, Here is probably the only reason not in the gigantic welfare state campaign associates "represented to broaden with the profiteers of the social budget of their action, their influence and their budget targeted wants. The title "partner", usually with their capital-liable partner in a Company called, is quite misleading. Is not meant finally taking responsibility for their own lives, but their assignment to Caritas and the likes, so their "socialization", which you can share with expropriation. Also noticed similar Bodo Wünsch on his excellent blog freedom, market, legal, where he also kindly the 30th Ludwig Erhard's death remembered.
The purpose of the whole matter becomes clear when one indulges in the blog worth reading "Economic Freedom", where the economics professor Rainer Hank has made the "secret Gesächfte of Charity "Subject to an economic analysis:
Diakonia & Co from about 1.5 million full-time employees and an estimated annual turnover of 55 billion € is the question. But the number of jobs at the big five charity has tripled since 1970. No one knows exactly, because the industry refuses stubbornly to put their data. Consolidated Balance Sheets as one looks in vain "
" It is extraordinary that a growth industry in the services market. - The classic "products" that are not threatened by globalization, because it only in this country "to women and men" can be provided - in the chaotic no man's land opaque darkness ekes out her life: organized labor and between black and non-profit tax-privileged corporatist dominated by an oligopoly of some welfare-caring institutions. Because the ratio would require actually, that such personal services is a perfect example of a market-organized industry of the future may be instructive companies "
But the" benefactor industry "has another claim for their ordinary living:
." Wants to advocate for the disadvantaged, "we are and for that responsible, "Solidarity in Society to donate. It says so in an "argument paper" to the charity. And this of course not limited entrepreneurial activity, but community involvement, with which one generates 73% of its revenues from public sources without having to face the pressure of competition effectively. Again, Hank.
"The advocacy discourse same time allows to use social demands for marketing purposes, but this to disguise the same time, if ever, the associations of reductions scourge of the welfare state, they do not only in the name of charity, but also to to ensure the financial welfare of their own day care, training and consultancy houses. The welfare industry praises quite openly for, fought for the introduction of Blümschen care to have. It has also benefited greatly from it. Not surprisingly, before this background that the industry is now also makes it particularly strong for the Leyensche of the Krippenbauprogramm. Supply-induced demand management economists call this method. It is known mainly from the NHS. "
better to have no real intention of the merged when the company can define welfare state mafia. It is finally also to the maintenance of "charity". Alone due to elimination of corporate and business tax the benefactors of some 600 million DM save, set free the resources of its volunteers as well as community service (for which the de facto a "special tax for young military men fit") and they may issue contribution receipts (even if that makes only 3% of their income) . A tradition that began in 1916, when the Catholic Caritas discovered the welfare state as a funding source, and thus began the gigantic growth of the welfare state industry. But Hank has
out that private providers, wherever they happen to win, despite competitive disadvantages against the subsidized charitable massive market share. Another reason why the "Shareholders" Profit-making and entrepreneurship demonize. They are afraid of the competition.
The campaign is sneaky, because it spans many good people in good faith before a commercial truck, but denied they stamped on the website and the media they are partnerships of ARD, ZDF has mirror to fraud. It is but it seems to participation and civil society to liability, it does not work. The media provide banner advertising space and time free of charge, are likely to have a million-dollar value and are recorded by the campaign professionally. Testimonials represent the ordinary citizens will be presented perfectly illuminated. Gideon Boess, the absurdity of these statements at WOMD satirized perfectly.
The expensive presentation and the extensive benefits that are obviously an increase in sales and Gewinnabzielungsabsicht provide the privilege of non-profit in question. In the Eighties, Otto Graf Lambsdorff in view of the failure of public service activities (or should it better common hot economic) of the DGB for "New Home", found "bank for social economy" and "COOP", "self-interest, common good, wretch" . Would add nothing to the cause.
If it were not that weird event last Sunday, when a handful of people through the center of Berlin subjected to point to hundreds of thousands of murdered and displaced hundreds of thousands and millions of starving people in Darfur, Sudan. Where they were, the "Shareholders". But it was not about the income of the German welfare state industry.
Wednesday, May 2, 2007
Maruti 800 2002 Model
The five-percent hurdle ...
we usually know as a market access restriction in the State party to protect the existing oligopoly. Today we want to deal with another five per cent phenomenon. Only 5 percent of the Hartz IV recipients have succeeded in spite of Arges and "challenge and support" to get hold of a compulsory social insurance work. Said Prof. Olaf Siebert on the bottom reportierten event. He relativized the cheers the Bild newspaper about 822 000 fewer unemployed considerably. For
Laws governing the employment of an economy, not the number of those who are listed as unemployed. But the proportion of the population, contributing with his own work to create value. Although efforts, the Federal Institute for Occupational in a 51-page report for information on how the labor market is changing under their aegis. But the Europe-transparent employment rate, it has not.
to report: Not all the unemployed receive unemployment benefit I, II or social assistance. But far more people belong be conducted without such services in the statistics as unemployed to. 1.3 million people received unemployment compensation, some 2.6 million unemployed unemployment benefit II. Which simply means that about 1 / 3 of the listed shorter than 12 months and about 2 / 3 of those listed as 12 months without a job for long. But not actually received 2.6 million "Hartz IV", but 5.2 million. 2.5 million people receive today Hartz IV without going through "challenge and support" are available to the labor market (Hartz IV as a hidden "unconditional basic income?). In addition there are 1.8 million social assistance recipients. Power in the Total 8.32 million people who are bankrolled by the welfare state. Like many women, men, girlfriends or children are added, is incalculable. After all, there are approximately 3.7 million so-called communities of need, living together in which a Hartz IV recipients with several other people. 612 000 ALG II - recipients have regular jobs, which is sufficient for living expenses (not more than 10% - the number is set in October - work benefits). Other 262 000 Hartz IV recipients were employed in "job opportunities". According to the ILO concept (International Labour Organisation), under which each as early as the first hour of work is not unemployed is, 3.3 million are without any income. So we must have about five million extra income.
received by the statistics, some 6.291 million people wage replacement benefits under SGB II (ALG II) or III (ALG I), one counts given in Table unemployment compensation and unemployment benefits - combined receiver, it would be 100,000 more. 100,000 people, not millions or billions (In billions and billions, I am quite willing to squander time).
3.397 million or 54% of beneficiaries were, according to the federal agency actually unemployed. If, however, nearly 4 million are registered as unemployed to get about 600,000 today, absolutely no Performance, while about 2.2 million wage-replacement benefits received that are not in the statistics listed as unemployed. A total of 447 000 people were given less than a year ago, unemployment compensation or unemployment benefit II
From the "entry-exit ratio" can see everything, just do not know what percentage of the unemployed have found a new social security payments position.
78 500 people who entered a "work opportunity" to 284 000 currently practicing such Wolfgang Clement called for "one-euro job" in which they actually earn 1.50. 12% increase over the same period last year.
Not unemployed are the way, "employees who work at least 15 hours a week, but due to low incomes are in need according to SGB II and therefore unemployment will II, are not counted as unemployed." And ... employable hilfebedüftige people who can take up work because they educate young children or relatives care ... ".
And a linguistic example of the precision of the Nuremberg "labor bureaucrats'
" The primary objective of active labor market policy is the permanent integration of unemployed into regular employment, that is an activity in the primary labor market. These integration effects and their impact on the unemployment stock
are more mid-and up to date hardly quantifiable. Apart from this, many labor market measures the aggregate stock of unemployed and temporarily reduce directly, notably in that previously unemployed persons for the duration of their participation no longer counted as unemployed
. . Only in this sense here of "relief effect" the speech "
And who is not calculated out to be so kind as" relief account "listed, even though federal government or federal agency charged busy:
" The following labor market policy instruments be included currently in the relief bill:
- short: the number of workers on short time-average interruption,
- measures of the second labor market: job opportunities, entry money variant employment, ABM,
traditional SAM and BSI,
- Qualification: professional development, training and aptitude measures and reintegration
disabled,
- early Similar regulations: use of § 428 SGB III in the right circle SGB III and persons
in funded retirement,
- participants in human service agencies,
- Promoting independence: start-up grant (I-AG) , Bridging benefit, foundation grant
and initial benefit option independence "
51 pages as a sample without value, deliberate obfuscation of a decade-long unsuccessful" unemployment ", you can perform every month totally free of purpose to mind, without really knowing how many people are actually lost their jobs or employment have received. This contributes to the figures is inconsistent: sometimes originate the data from the March, once set in October, sometimes they are valued, then are they from the labor agency regions that are already equipped with the new software, the Nuremberg headquarters, but no Compare for instance with regard to the qualifications of the unemployed permit because the old with the new system is not compatible. There are also linguistic inaccuracies ". Compared with the previous year, employment increased by 601,000, after +579,000 in February," It follows that the unemployment would have in the past two months alone have to fall by 1.2 million.
In fact, the situation has to have not really improved much. In fact, the number of total employment of just under 39 million in early 2004, initially held at the same level and has "seasonally adjusted" improved by 56,000 to 39.11 million. The social insurance Employee increased from the previous year to 650,000. A significant difference compared to the alleged decline in unemployment to 1.5 million. 822 000 fewer unemployed, of which about 622 000 new employees actually that is not more than the regular variation in the utilization of the economy. Says Wolfgang Franz, a member of the Advisory Council this morning in Germany radio. To meet the growing structural unemployment in 40 years (since taken just as the first great coalition of 1967) to fight, we need a new offer of employment, particularly those that give a chance to belong to the 2 / 3 of the unemployed for more than one year have found a job.
What we need is a monthly labor market report that no one understands and the fact that half of Germans have no gainful employment, veiled. Or as Winston Churchill rightly said: "Believe only statistics, which you yourself have forged.
we usually know as a market access restriction in the State party to protect the existing oligopoly. Today we want to deal with another five per cent phenomenon. Only 5 percent of the Hartz IV recipients have succeeded in spite of Arges and "challenge and support" to get hold of a compulsory social insurance work. Said Prof. Olaf Siebert on the bottom reportierten event. He relativized the cheers the Bild newspaper about 822 000 fewer unemployed considerably. For
Laws governing the employment of an economy, not the number of those who are listed as unemployed. But the proportion of the population, contributing with his own work to create value. Although efforts, the Federal Institute for Occupational in a 51-page report for information on how the labor market is changing under their aegis. But the Europe-transparent employment rate, it has not.
to report: Not all the unemployed receive unemployment benefit I, II or social assistance. But far more people belong be conducted without such services in the statistics as unemployed to. 1.3 million people received unemployment compensation, some 2.6 million unemployed unemployment benefit II. Which simply means that about 1 / 3 of the listed shorter than 12 months and about 2 / 3 of those listed as 12 months without a job for long. But not actually received 2.6 million "Hartz IV", but 5.2 million. 2.5 million people receive today Hartz IV without going through "challenge and support" are available to the labor market (Hartz IV as a hidden "unconditional basic income?). In addition there are 1.8 million social assistance recipients. Power in the Total 8.32 million people who are bankrolled by the welfare state. Like many women, men, girlfriends or children are added, is incalculable. After all, there are approximately 3.7 million so-called communities of need, living together in which a Hartz IV recipients with several other people. 612 000 ALG II - recipients have regular jobs, which is sufficient for living expenses (not more than 10% - the number is set in October - work benefits). Other 262 000 Hartz IV recipients were employed in "job opportunities". According to the ILO concept (International Labour Organisation), under which each as early as the first hour of work is not unemployed is, 3.3 million are without any income. So we must have about five million extra income.
received by the statistics, some 6.291 million people wage replacement benefits under SGB II (ALG II) or III (ALG I), one counts given in Table unemployment compensation and unemployment benefits - combined receiver, it would be 100,000 more. 100,000 people, not millions or billions (In billions and billions, I am quite willing to squander time).
3.397 million or 54% of beneficiaries were, according to the federal agency actually unemployed. If, however, nearly 4 million are registered as unemployed to get about 600,000 today, absolutely no Performance, while about 2.2 million wage-replacement benefits received that are not in the statistics listed as unemployed. A total of 447 000 people were given less than a year ago, unemployment compensation or unemployment benefit II
From the "entry-exit ratio" can see everything, just do not know what percentage of the unemployed have found a new social security payments position.
78 500 people who entered a "work opportunity" to 284 000 currently practicing such Wolfgang Clement called for "one-euro job" in which they actually earn 1.50. 12% increase over the same period last year.
Not unemployed are the way, "employees who work at least 15 hours a week, but due to low incomes are in need according to SGB II and therefore unemployment will II, are not counted as unemployed." And ... employable hilfebedüftige people who can take up work because they educate young children or relatives care ... ".
And a linguistic example of the precision of the Nuremberg "labor bureaucrats'
" The primary objective of active labor market policy is the permanent integration of unemployed into regular employment, that is an activity in the primary labor market. These integration effects and their impact on the unemployment stock
are more mid-and up to date hardly quantifiable. Apart from this, many labor market measures the aggregate stock of unemployed and temporarily reduce directly, notably in that previously unemployed persons for the duration of their participation no longer counted as unemployed
. . Only in this sense here of "relief effect" the speech "
And who is not calculated out to be so kind as" relief account "listed, even though federal government or federal agency charged busy:
" The following labor market policy instruments be included currently in the relief bill:
- short: the number of workers on short time-average interruption,
- measures of the second labor market: job opportunities, entry money variant employment, ABM,
traditional SAM and BSI,
- Qualification: professional development, training and aptitude measures and reintegration
disabled,
- early Similar regulations: use of § 428 SGB III in the right circle SGB III and persons
in funded retirement,
- participants in human service agencies,
- Promoting independence: start-up grant (I-AG) , Bridging benefit, foundation grant
and initial benefit option independence "
51 pages as a sample without value, deliberate obfuscation of a decade-long unsuccessful" unemployment ", you can perform every month totally free of purpose to mind, without really knowing how many people are actually lost their jobs or employment have received. This contributes to the figures is inconsistent: sometimes originate the data from the March, once set in October, sometimes they are valued, then are they from the labor agency regions that are already equipped with the new software, the Nuremberg headquarters, but no Compare for instance with regard to the qualifications of the unemployed permit because the old with the new system is not compatible. There are also linguistic inaccuracies ". Compared with the previous year, employment increased by 601,000, after +579,000 in February," It follows that the unemployment would have in the past two months alone have to fall by 1.2 million.
In fact, the situation has to have not really improved much. In fact, the number of total employment of just under 39 million in early 2004, initially held at the same level and has "seasonally adjusted" improved by 56,000 to 39.11 million. The social insurance Employee increased from the previous year to 650,000. A significant difference compared to the alleged decline in unemployment to 1.5 million. 822 000 fewer unemployed, of which about 622 000 new employees actually that is not more than the regular variation in the utilization of the economy. Says Wolfgang Franz, a member of the Advisory Council this morning in Germany radio. To meet the growing structural unemployment in 40 years (since taken just as the first great coalition of 1967) to fight, we need a new offer of employment, particularly those that give a chance to belong to the 2 / 3 of the unemployed for more than one year have found a job.
What we need is a monthly labor market report that no one understands and the fact that half of Germans have no gainful employment, veiled. Or as Winston Churchill rightly said: "Believe only statistics, which you yourself have forged.
Tuesday, May 1, 2007
Meloxicam And Excedrin Migraine
From beer mat to civil money
Carsten Schneider (32), SPD member of parliament has earned for itself. " Maybe not about the country, but the man who represents himself, despite his young age for almost 10 years in the German parliament. Since the pension rights are safe, excluded life experience outside of the city politics and operating largely a function of the promising List maximum space.
Now he has "free basic income-¬" last week with Spiegel Online a comment to let off the drives of the welfare state mafia tears of joy in his eyes. Individual justice is in place to produce a socially unjust basic income, as formulated by the Thuringian Minister President Dieter Althaus. Finally, the low incomes in Althaus model are taxed at 50%, the high only at 25%, says Schneider. Scandal, redistribution from bottom to top. The social policies was quickly into the drawer label "socially unjust". The SPON "guest commentary" was released in time for a meeting of the Market Economy Foundation on "citizen's income or free basic income 'on the last Wednesday in the hallowed halls of the Bundestag, the CDU / CSU faction in the parliament hall. They had with the anthroposophic Großdrogeristen Götz Werner and the Thuringian Minister President Dieter Althaus invited the two protagonists of basic income and basic income in order to make the critique of economic professors Clemens Fuest and Horst Siebert. Who now reads on, be warned. It is in principle. And it takes a little longer.
THE NEEDS
The German welfare state creates the demand, he met, for decades, he himself is growing more, but rising poverty and unemployment. An example of total failure. 138 of over 150 social assistance transfers from the clothes for newborns up to the social welfare pension, of labor, social agencies and utilities, student loans, child, or housing benefit authorities managed allotted, awarded. Alone in the employment services employed 90,000 people, unfortunately I have no statistics on the total number of employees on hand, but most of the DAX companies are likely to have fewer staff, always in Germany. The distributed volume accounts for about half of the German domestic product, more than 700 billion €, of which about 2 / 3 of the double fiction of the so-called "contributions" acquire with the citizens' rights "against the social subject.
The contributions consist of taxes of wage and salary earners, which consist of employer and employee contributions. This funding is in solidarity, because the employer to participate with their contributions. To make the illusion complete, and the "society" to become an accomplice to get the officials of employers 'and workers' organizations and vote on the boards of the so-called self-administration. The amount of the transfers and forced tributions but not the self-administration, but the legislature.
fact, these contributions are part of the income earned by the employee and not supportive to the plan to the system: the company employs the employee does not remain the employer's contribution from the end. For the entrepreneur it is annoying that he labor costs at three and not be remitted to an account. The payroll records must not only calculate the respective shares, but also carry out "On-Off" with financial and social security administration, and communicate with the tax office.
Althaus reflects the cost of the welfare state bureaucracy, with € 3.8 billion, which seems quite low and certainly does not include the costs of bureaucracy in the company. In any case, it is still twice that of the total outlay, the international community for the exploration of their potentially greatest threat of "climate catastrophe".
the unconditional basic income or negative income tax
Götz Werner is a visionary. He believes in the good in people and wants to do good. Everyone should get a free basic income, which guarantees him more than just existence. And to be financed by the abolition of the welfare state through a consumption tax, which is a mega-tax. The apple is to be taxed only when it is peeled and do not if it grows.
Althaus' model is a highly modified version of negative income tax of Milton Friedman, mixed with the basic income. Low earners receive € 800, € 400.00 big earners, pensioners and child 500 additional premium. The person will be deducted a lump-sum insurance premium of 200 €. Low earners have to pay up to 1600 € 50% tax on earned, big earners 25%. This angered the Lord especially Schneider, just like his Vice Presidents Grotthaus in the panel discussion that would have to know as a former mayor of Oberhausen, that the current welfare state structural change the Ruhr region has not mastered. One can probably assume that the men face more stupid than they are. The higher tax rate is a compensation for the original double the citizen's income, the effect will be negated by a higher income.
The tear
Then comes the economic expertise to speak. In the form of university professors, Clemens Fuest, University of Cologne, Institute of Public Finance and Horst Siebert, chief emeritus of the Institute of Economics in Kiel.
Fuest, a member of the liberal Kronberger circle, with the help of the "micro-simulation model" of his institution on the data base of "FAST / SOEP" the effects of Althaus model with a variant having a higher credit (60 instead of 50%) and a higher flat tax provides 30 instead of 25%. As with all these models, the result is completely determined by the assumptions that lead to the design model. As can be simulated as often.
With FAST / SOEP is called an econometric model that can estimate based on statistical surveys from the past behavior in the future will be. And that's the problem: statistical or micro-economic data is only aggregated from the past, but not for the future.
Fuest hypothesis is: Single women do not work if they receive a citizen's income. They prefer to educate their children then. Has he said so. Therefore, they are no longer available for work and financial needs increase. In sum, making a decline of 900,000 to 1.5 million full-time employees. This creates a higher financial cost for benefits between 73.3 (Althaus) and € 10.9 billion.
Fuest calls as an alternative to the combined wages. Only those who get work, even what to do so, that it is enough to live. The rest of the welfare state remains as it is. This has an effect on employment. So social transfer number 139th A complex society requires just a complex welfare state and a complex tax system. Fuest said. The man makes his own tax return? Who probably makes the tax return for his secretary. And the student loan account of its students? Himself? Hardly.
Siebert Then take the floor and turns to Götz Werner: Germany had no oil wells, that they could finance an unconditional basic income. Hartz IV have finally led to a reduction of the expected wage, the wage expected by the unemployed to work again. By 20%. The unconditional basic income would probably increase again. The acquisition of morality of the young generation would be undermined by an unconditional basic income. The young people have no incentive to build human capital, that is to educate, to learn a trade, a course of study, etc. successfully. What you could to earn in the informal sector would always extend to life. To finance the basic income, an income tax of 78% would be required. O-Ton: "The risk in the Sahara to risk his life seems low given the opportunity, as Nigerians his income to the 46-ig-fold increase. In addition to a huge migration out of Africa would also all EU citizens to Germany who work unwillingly. Would be added to the consumer tourism from Germany to other European countries that have lower tax. The entitlement would force, increased the political economy. Werner had not provided financial accounts. Social security contributions for the financing could not be spent. A basic income of 1,500 € per year would amount to finance costs of EUR 1.5 billion per year. Then were left for employment, the capital factor is 200 billion €. That is impossible.
not what was discussed: On behalf of the Institute Althaus, Siebert headed the past, has estimated the opposite of what had Fuest "calculated" Thomas Straubhaar and his colleagues estimate by the Institute for World Economics, 1.17 million new full-time jobs would be created and improve the financial situation of the welfare state around € 46 billion, as the largest employment effects can be achieved with lower income than structural reasons for the low-skilled workers, whose unemployment for more than three decades is increasing.
Straubhaar said, by the citizen's income would more people be able to pursue even a job that finances alone do not make a living. They would be inclined therefore, now accept bodies that did not exist before. Fuest and Siebert expect the opposite. They fear that more people want to ever engage in any gainful employment. You want a living social transfer subject to the obligation to work, ie a combined wage instead of the citizens money. The associated administrative burden they consider negligible.
Then, the parties represented in parliament had their say. SPD, however, skeptical Green, FDP money for citizens with means-tested and the Left Party for the unconditional basic income. The difference between FDP and Althaus had the least to those between the Left Party and Werner. The description of the usual party banter will save me.
THE KEY TO SUCCESS: THE NEGATIVE PROGRESSION "
Sometimes you develop even economic ambition. Therefore, a proposal mediates between Althaus and professors. Hartz IV offers little incentive to take additional legal jobs, because that is the "recipient" additional remaining share of wages too low. In order for the unemployment benefit II is now practically the minimum wage on a monthly basis. Only if you earn at least as much as ALG II, and housing assistance to bring together, it is worth taking up work. The reduction of the expected wage, which advocates Siebert correctly is not the consequence of the introduction of ALG II, but comes about because of the absence of unemployment benefits. This paid from tax revenues transfer power was based not on the breadline, but early in the earnings of the. Therefore, he had an incentive to take even a job if they roughly matched his previous earnings. Now he gets to the end of the unemployment benefit only the ALG II, he / she is so much better when he achieved a lower than his original income, as long as it is a little above the Hartz IV set.
It's the same with the public money. However, already the Althaus - an improved model of incentive as Hartz IV, as it were sliding enter the job market. Because from what is added to the deserving unemployed, Althaus wants him only deduct half of the citizens money. This improves the incentive of every citizen to the status quo in all cases and should precisely the tendency to increase employment. It has the same effect as the combined wages, only on a voluntary basis and not based on coercion. The state does not need regulatory action. Simultaneously, the unemployed pay no taxes. The citizen's income for earners in Althaus leads to a misunderstanding. For defacto the burden on high earners and low-income people in about the same, because the one getting double the money of other citizens.
spoke, however much that would return from the Althaus-variant to the original negative income tax. The citizen's income is equal to exactly half of the basic tax allowance. In order to work incentives strengthen, runs the credit of their own merit but not linear, but progressive. The less I earn in addition, the more I can keep it. The more I earn in addition, the higher the credit to the citizens money. The double deduction, the citizens who earn more than twice the citizen's income, which almost made the same tax, sourcing the citizens money. The main objection by Fuest, the less incentive to work is offset by the negative progression. It is always worth something to earn added. If you make of the first 100 € do not require you, then you will be quick to take up work. If by the second 100 € nur 12,5 %, von den Dritten 100 € 25 % abgezogen werden, erhalten gerade die besonders niedrig qualifizierten einen Anreiz, sich an der Wertschöpfung zu beteiligen. Und durch diese Beteiligung wird bereits ein Teil des Einkommens wieder durch Einkommens- und Gewinnsteuern bei anderen zurückgeführt.
Entscheidend für das Gelingen des Konzeptes ist die wirksame Unterbindung der Schwarzarbeit. Dies kann nur durch eine grundsätzliche andere Anwendung der Einkommenssteuer erreichen. Dienstleistungen, Immobilien und Güter, die auf der Basis von Erwerbsarbeit entstehen, müssen grundsätzlich abzugsfähig sein. Nur so werden die Auftraggeber automatisch darauf bestehen, dass „mit Rechnung“ gearbeitet wird. Wer also sein Auto reparieren lässt, sein Dach neu decken lässt oder eine Wärmeschutzdämmung in seinem Haus anbringen lässt, Sonnenkollektoren auf dem Dach installiert, kann dies etwa bei einer „selbst genutzten Immobilie“ genauso von der Steuer absetzen können, wie bei einer „Fremdgenutzten.“ Damit entstünde die Steuerpflicht nicht beim Einkommen des Bürgers, sondern beim Gewinn des Unternehmers.
Bedenkt man, dass der Anteil der Schwarzarbeit in Deutschland heute 17 % des Inlandproduktes beträgt, also rund 300 Mrd €, so ergeben sich bei einem angestrebten Steueranteil von 25 % (neben der Gewinnsteuer fallen die Einkommenssteuern der Mitarbeiter als zusätzliche Einnahmen und die niedrigeren Aufwendungen an Bürgergeld an), so wären so rund 75 Mrd € zusätzliche Einnahmen zu erwarten. Dass ist ungefähr die Deckungslücke, die Fuest dem Althaus-Modell unterstellt. Das weist auf den geringen Erkenntniswert der ökonometrisch-basierten Modelle hin.
Zum Bürgergeld gibt es genauso wenig eine Alternative wie zur Flat-Tax á la Kirchhoff, deren Erklärung auf den besagten Bierdeckel passt. Althaus hat aus dem Scheitern von Merz und Kirchhoff in der real-existierenden Parteiendemokratie übrigens seine Konsequenzen gezogen und organisiert seine „Bürgergeld-Initiative“ bewusst außerhalb der CDU. So wehte wieder einmal ein Hauch von Merz durch den CDU-Fraktionssaal. Und das im April.
Carsten Schneider (32), SPD member of parliament has earned for itself. " Maybe not about the country, but the man who represents himself, despite his young age for almost 10 years in the German parliament. Since the pension rights are safe, excluded life experience outside of the city politics and operating largely a function of the promising List maximum space.
Now he has "free basic income-¬" last week with Spiegel Online a comment to let off the drives of the welfare state mafia tears of joy in his eyes. Individual justice is in place to produce a socially unjust basic income, as formulated by the Thuringian Minister President Dieter Althaus. Finally, the low incomes in Althaus model are taxed at 50%, the high only at 25%, says Schneider. Scandal, redistribution from bottom to top. The social policies was quickly into the drawer label "socially unjust". The SPON "guest commentary" was released in time for a meeting of the Market Economy Foundation on "citizen's income or free basic income 'on the last Wednesday in the hallowed halls of the Bundestag, the CDU / CSU faction in the parliament hall. They had with the anthroposophic Großdrogeristen Götz Werner and the Thuringian Minister President Dieter Althaus invited the two protagonists of basic income and basic income in order to make the critique of economic professors Clemens Fuest and Horst Siebert. Who now reads on, be warned. It is in principle. And it takes a little longer.
THE NEEDS
The German welfare state creates the demand, he met, for decades, he himself is growing more, but rising poverty and unemployment. An example of total failure. 138 of over 150 social assistance transfers from the clothes for newborns up to the social welfare pension, of labor, social agencies and utilities, student loans, child, or housing benefit authorities managed allotted, awarded. Alone in the employment services employed 90,000 people, unfortunately I have no statistics on the total number of employees on hand, but most of the DAX companies are likely to have fewer staff, always in Germany. The distributed volume accounts for about half of the German domestic product, more than 700 billion €, of which about 2 / 3 of the double fiction of the so-called "contributions" acquire with the citizens' rights "against the social subject.
The contributions consist of taxes of wage and salary earners, which consist of employer and employee contributions. This funding is in solidarity, because the employer to participate with their contributions. To make the illusion complete, and the "society" to become an accomplice to get the officials of employers 'and workers' organizations and vote on the boards of the so-called self-administration. The amount of the transfers and forced tributions but not the self-administration, but the legislature.
fact, these contributions are part of the income earned by the employee and not supportive to the plan to the system: the company employs the employee does not remain the employer's contribution from the end. For the entrepreneur it is annoying that he labor costs at three and not be remitted to an account. The payroll records must not only calculate the respective shares, but also carry out "On-Off" with financial and social security administration, and communicate with the tax office.
Althaus reflects the cost of the welfare state bureaucracy, with € 3.8 billion, which seems quite low and certainly does not include the costs of bureaucracy in the company. In any case, it is still twice that of the total outlay, the international community for the exploration of their potentially greatest threat of "climate catastrophe".
the unconditional basic income or negative income tax
Götz Werner is a visionary. He believes in the good in people and wants to do good. Everyone should get a free basic income, which guarantees him more than just existence. And to be financed by the abolition of the welfare state through a consumption tax, which is a mega-tax. The apple is to be taxed only when it is peeled and do not if it grows.
Althaus' model is a highly modified version of negative income tax of Milton Friedman, mixed with the basic income. Low earners receive € 800, € 400.00 big earners, pensioners and child 500 additional premium. The person will be deducted a lump-sum insurance premium of 200 €. Low earners have to pay up to 1600 € 50% tax on earned, big earners 25%. This angered the Lord especially Schneider, just like his Vice Presidents Grotthaus in the panel discussion that would have to know as a former mayor of Oberhausen, that the current welfare state structural change the Ruhr region has not mastered. One can probably assume that the men face more stupid than they are. The higher tax rate is a compensation for the original double the citizen's income, the effect will be negated by a higher income.
The tear
Then comes the economic expertise to speak. In the form of university professors, Clemens Fuest, University of Cologne, Institute of Public Finance and Horst Siebert, chief emeritus of the Institute of Economics in Kiel.
Fuest, a member of the liberal Kronberger circle, with the help of the "micro-simulation model" of his institution on the data base of "FAST / SOEP" the effects of Althaus model with a variant having a higher credit (60 instead of 50%) and a higher flat tax provides 30 instead of 25%. As with all these models, the result is completely determined by the assumptions that lead to the design model. As can be simulated as often.
With FAST / SOEP is called an econometric model that can estimate based on statistical surveys from the past behavior in the future will be. And that's the problem: statistical or micro-economic data is only aggregated from the past, but not for the future.
Fuest hypothesis is: Single women do not work if they receive a citizen's income. They prefer to educate their children then. Has he said so. Therefore, they are no longer available for work and financial needs increase. In sum, making a decline of 900,000 to 1.5 million full-time employees. This creates a higher financial cost for benefits between 73.3 (Althaus) and € 10.9 billion.
Fuest calls as an alternative to the combined wages. Only those who get work, even what to do so, that it is enough to live. The rest of the welfare state remains as it is. This has an effect on employment. So social transfer number 139th A complex society requires just a complex welfare state and a complex tax system. Fuest said. The man makes his own tax return? Who probably makes the tax return for his secretary. And the student loan account of its students? Himself? Hardly.
Siebert Then take the floor and turns to Götz Werner: Germany had no oil wells, that they could finance an unconditional basic income. Hartz IV have finally led to a reduction of the expected wage, the wage expected by the unemployed to work again. By 20%. The unconditional basic income would probably increase again. The acquisition of morality of the young generation would be undermined by an unconditional basic income. The young people have no incentive to build human capital, that is to educate, to learn a trade, a course of study, etc. successfully. What you could to earn in the informal sector would always extend to life. To finance the basic income, an income tax of 78% would be required. O-Ton: "The risk in the Sahara to risk his life seems low given the opportunity, as Nigerians his income to the 46-ig-fold increase. In addition to a huge migration out of Africa would also all EU citizens to Germany who work unwillingly. Would be added to the consumer tourism from Germany to other European countries that have lower tax. The entitlement would force, increased the political economy. Werner had not provided financial accounts. Social security contributions for the financing could not be spent. A basic income of 1,500 € per year would amount to finance costs of EUR 1.5 billion per year. Then were left for employment, the capital factor is 200 billion €. That is impossible.
not what was discussed: On behalf of the Institute Althaus, Siebert headed the past, has estimated the opposite of what had Fuest "calculated" Thomas Straubhaar and his colleagues estimate by the Institute for World Economics, 1.17 million new full-time jobs would be created and improve the financial situation of the welfare state around € 46 billion, as the largest employment effects can be achieved with lower income than structural reasons for the low-skilled workers, whose unemployment for more than three decades is increasing.
Straubhaar said, by the citizen's income would more people be able to pursue even a job that finances alone do not make a living. They would be inclined therefore, now accept bodies that did not exist before. Fuest and Siebert expect the opposite. They fear that more people want to ever engage in any gainful employment. You want a living social transfer subject to the obligation to work, ie a combined wage instead of the citizens money. The associated administrative burden they consider negligible.
Then, the parties represented in parliament had their say. SPD, however, skeptical Green, FDP money for citizens with means-tested and the Left Party for the unconditional basic income. The difference between FDP and Althaus had the least to those between the Left Party and Werner. The description of the usual party banter will save me.
THE KEY TO SUCCESS: THE NEGATIVE PROGRESSION "
Sometimes you develop even economic ambition. Therefore, a proposal mediates between Althaus and professors. Hartz IV offers little incentive to take additional legal jobs, because that is the "recipient" additional remaining share of wages too low. In order for the unemployment benefit II is now practically the minimum wage on a monthly basis. Only if you earn at least as much as ALG II, and housing assistance to bring together, it is worth taking up work. The reduction of the expected wage, which advocates Siebert correctly is not the consequence of the introduction of ALG II, but comes about because of the absence of unemployment benefits. This paid from tax revenues transfer power was based not on the breadline, but early in the earnings of the. Therefore, he had an incentive to take even a job if they roughly matched his previous earnings. Now he gets to the end of the unemployment benefit only the ALG II, he / she is so much better when he achieved a lower than his original income, as long as it is a little above the Hartz IV set.
It's the same with the public money. However, already the Althaus - an improved model of incentive as Hartz IV, as it were sliding enter the job market. Because from what is added to the deserving unemployed, Althaus wants him only deduct half of the citizens money. This improves the incentive of every citizen to the status quo in all cases and should precisely the tendency to increase employment. It has the same effect as the combined wages, only on a voluntary basis and not based on coercion. The state does not need regulatory action. Simultaneously, the unemployed pay no taxes. The citizen's income for earners in Althaus leads to a misunderstanding. For defacto the burden on high earners and low-income people in about the same, because the one getting double the money of other citizens.
spoke, however much that would return from the Althaus-variant to the original negative income tax. The citizen's income is equal to exactly half of the basic tax allowance. In order to work incentives strengthen, runs the credit of their own merit but not linear, but progressive. The less I earn in addition, the more I can keep it. The more I earn in addition, the higher the credit to the citizens money. The double deduction, the citizens who earn more than twice the citizen's income, which almost made the same tax, sourcing the citizens money. The main objection by Fuest, the less incentive to work is offset by the negative progression. It is always worth something to earn added. If you make of the first 100 € do not require you, then you will be quick to take up work. If by the second 100 € nur 12,5 %, von den Dritten 100 € 25 % abgezogen werden, erhalten gerade die besonders niedrig qualifizierten einen Anreiz, sich an der Wertschöpfung zu beteiligen. Und durch diese Beteiligung wird bereits ein Teil des Einkommens wieder durch Einkommens- und Gewinnsteuern bei anderen zurückgeführt.
Entscheidend für das Gelingen des Konzeptes ist die wirksame Unterbindung der Schwarzarbeit. Dies kann nur durch eine grundsätzliche andere Anwendung der Einkommenssteuer erreichen. Dienstleistungen, Immobilien und Güter, die auf der Basis von Erwerbsarbeit entstehen, müssen grundsätzlich abzugsfähig sein. Nur so werden die Auftraggeber automatisch darauf bestehen, dass „mit Rechnung“ gearbeitet wird. Wer also sein Auto reparieren lässt, sein Dach neu decken lässt oder eine Wärmeschutzdämmung in seinem Haus anbringen lässt, Sonnenkollektoren auf dem Dach installiert, kann dies etwa bei einer „selbst genutzten Immobilie“ genauso von der Steuer absetzen können, wie bei einer „Fremdgenutzten.“ Damit entstünde die Steuerpflicht nicht beim Einkommen des Bürgers, sondern beim Gewinn des Unternehmers.
Bedenkt man, dass der Anteil der Schwarzarbeit in Deutschland heute 17 % des Inlandproduktes beträgt, also rund 300 Mrd €, so ergeben sich bei einem angestrebten Steueranteil von 25 % (neben der Gewinnsteuer fallen die Einkommenssteuern der Mitarbeiter als zusätzliche Einnahmen und die niedrigeren Aufwendungen an Bürgergeld an), so wären so rund 75 Mrd € zusätzliche Einnahmen zu erwarten. Dass ist ungefähr die Deckungslücke, die Fuest dem Althaus-Modell unterstellt. Das weist auf den geringen Erkenntniswert der ökonometrisch-basierten Modelle hin.
Zum Bürgergeld gibt es genauso wenig eine Alternative wie zur Flat-Tax á la Kirchhoff, deren Erklärung auf den besagten Bierdeckel passt. Althaus hat aus dem Scheitern von Merz und Kirchhoff in der real-existierenden Parteiendemokratie übrigens seine Konsequenzen gezogen und organisiert seine „Bürgergeld-Initiative“ bewusst außerhalb der CDU. So wehte wieder einmal ein Hauch von Merz durch den CDU-Fraktionssaal. Und das im April.
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